Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 1296.712877 1482.014928 1690.600727 1943.986021 2245.065348 2593.348422 3029.573132
2025-07-06 978.862058 1206.849441 1488.675065 1867.251014 2369.531173 3023.200760 3955.250364
2025-07-13 863.566165 1119.282513 1455.832256 1940.402051 2635.835145 3622.979762 5177.784523
2025-07-20 767.647756 1034.214182 1402.679404 1963.480070 2821.790585 4132.474062 6383.324273
2025-07-27 699.724332 974.224344 1369.959568 2002.187825 3026.919117 4699.571839 7815.007448
2025-08-03 642.800256 920.695983 1336.238709 2029.137279 3211.578749 5263.383526 9389.111387
2025-08-10 605.308716 890.354648 1331.566620 2098.082905 3473.536316 6009.970206 11525.052764
2025-08-17 566.000864 851.957302 1308.131278 2129.950732 3672.758607 6680.913248 13720.794285
2025-08-24 528.511950 811.979421 1276.528089 2141.358907 3833.523760 7309.027366 16034.989964
2025-08-31 495.698016 776.031876 1247.027700 2151.174029 3990.983575 7963.775917 18654.083389
2025-09-07 471.259567 751.521882 1234.107277 2189.269625 4211.364526 8808.131147 22112.610688
2025-09-14 433.990322 701.503276 1170.529741 2120.159558 4191.146682 9087.026464 24084.202426
2025-09-21 400.286737 656.050592 1112.891957 2059.884856 4190.407844 9440.794863 26542.812949
2025-09-28 367.832883 610.393268 1050.959919 1983.923193 4143.558104 9674.903036 28770.538465
2025-10-05 357.481049 603.741511 1061.803255 2062.002267 4475.078223 11017.102345 35675.292939
2025-10-12 341.888784 585.948980 1049.074450 2086.924929 4681.287587 12072.517804 42215.746654
2025-10-19 329.392692 572.865852 1044.219451 2128.609759 4939.549684 13371.887057 50782.823000
2025-10-26 316.627225 558.161078 1034.516715 2157.645669 5170.703584 14668.971287 60466.695172
2025-11-02 308.958819 552.730361 1043.365944 2231.955325 5545.374828 16596.448650 75338.964591
2025-11-09 298.262868 540.383641 1036.299564 2266.316082 5812.866425 18253.352488 90605.223264
2025-11-16 286.535269 525.038809 1021.281552 2278.618735 6017.484390 19761.408985 106870.813268
2025-11-23 275.526630 510.349970 1006.351276 2289.204290 6220.406838 21357.116029 126074.800591
2025-11-30 267.491215 501.245792 1003.069866 2330.297664 6533.838899 23577.072940 153964.225824